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ICRA Forecasts Sequential Moderation in India’s GDP Growth to 7% in Q2 FY2024

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Santhosh Kumar 23/11/2023
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ICRA Forecasts Sequential Moderation in India’s GDP Growth to 7% in Q2 FY2024 mind map Gross Value Added (GVA) Growth Estimates GVA growth anticipated to ease to 6.8% Services sector and agriculture contributing to deceleration Factors Impacting Future Growth Uneven rainfall Narrowing commodity price differentials Potential slowdown in government capex Weak external demand Cumulative impact of monetary tightening Full-Year GDP Growth Estimate and Investment Activity Full-year GDP growth estimate maintained at 6.0% Robust investment activity in Q2 FY2024 Industrial GVA Growth and Sectoral Performance Industrial GVA growth estimated at 6.6% Driven by manufacturing, electricity, and mining Services and Agriculture GVA Growth Expectations Services GVA growth projected at 8.2% Agriculture growth estimated at 1.0% Forward-Looking Concerns and Conclusion Concerns about uneven rainfall, commodity prices Low confidence in Net Zero targets among G20 members Urgent need for clean energy access

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