2023-24 El Niño – One of the Strongest on Record

2023-24 El Niño – One of the Strongest on Record mind map
Recent News
Announcement by World Meteorological Organization
Expected to last until April 2024
When
Developed rapidly during July-August 2023
Reached moderate strength by September 2023
Likely to peak November - January 2024
Why
Natural climate pattern
Warming of ocean surface in central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean
What
90% likelihood to persist in upcoming northern hemisphere winter/southern hemisphere summer
Impacts weather patterns
Heatwaves
Floods
Droughts
Record high land and sea-surface temperatures since June 2023
2023 on track to be the warmest year on record
Next year may be even warmer
Where
Global impact
Central-eastern tropical Pacific
Who
World Meteorological Organization (WMO)
Secretary-General Prof. Petteri Taalas
How
Sea surface temperatures rise significantly
From 0.5 °C above average in May to 1.5 °C in September 2023
Significance
Early Warnings For All initiative to save lives
Challenges
Exacerbate extreme weather and climate events
Major impacts on ecosystems and economies
Way Forward
Global Seasonal Climate Updates consider other climate variability modes
North Atlantic Oscillation
Arctic Oscillation
Indian Ocean Dipole

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has announced that the ongoing El Niño event, which started developing rapidly during July-August 2023 and reached moderate strength by September, is expected to be one of the strongest on record. This event is anticipated to last until at least April 2024 and is likely to fuel further increases in global temperatures. It has significant impacts on weather patterns, contributing to extreme weather events such as heatwaves, floods, and droughts across the globe. The rapid development and significant impact of this El Niño event are noteworthy against the backdrop of the climate being changed by human activities, with 2023 on track to be the warmest year on record due to the combined effects of El Niño and high concentrations of greenhouse gases.

This El Niño event underscores the importance of early warning systems and the need for global cooperation in monitoring and preparing for its impacts. It highlights the complex interplay between natural climate patterns and human-induced climate change, with significant implications for weather, ecosystems, and economies worldwide.

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